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content/posts/2023-10-22-why-your-ai-bot-sucks.md

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+---
+type: blog-post
+title: Why your AI Chatbot sucks
+description: Please don't burn too much money
+draft: false
+date: 2023-10-24
+updates:
+  - time: 2023-10-23
+    description: first iteration
+tags:
+  - "#blog"
+---
+
+The title may seem editorialized. But honestly it is true. The current landscape
+for AI bots, doesn't deliver anything, aren't interesting to use. And no, I
+won't use your shitty AI bot to ask questions about my groceries.
+
+## Yet another AI chatbot
+
+AI bots like the IPhone apps of yore, are being churned out like a warm bread
+out of an oven. And funnily they all look the same, even if they may have
+different seasonings. It is actually crazy how much AI bots mimic how we built
+apps. When apps first became a thing. In the beginning everything was generic
+cookie cutter stuff. Such as yet another:
+
+- Downloader for ringtones.
+- Instructuals,
+- Tic/Tac/Toe
+- Horrible company marketing app with no functionality
+
+Like with the AI bots we fall straight into the 4th item. Putting a small prompt
+on your AI bot doesn't make it useful, or interesting. Not unless you're
+creative, like Wendies were on Twitter, until every fast food brand caught on,
+and did the same.
+
+Or useful. Can your AI bot actually do stuff. Can I actually buy groceries
+directly using my chatbot? No, then why in all that is holy would i spend the
+time to phrase a question for it? If your AI bot doesn't deliver a better
+experience or original take on your product, why would anyone use it? If it is
+just yet another user interface for your product, people will just use what is
+most familiar to them.
+
+For new products like this, either it has to be extremely useful, original. If
+neither fits, you won't get any traction.
+
+A lot of these AI bots feel like talking to a generic receptionist, whom likes
+to talk, way, way too much. Not that I can relate :,)
+
+## Gain traction before it becomes a commodity
+
+If you can get the same product everywhere, you're gonna choose what you're most
+familiar with. Get users before this happens, otherwise you would just have
+burned a lot of money on compute and R&D.
+
+Already you can tell that all these companies racking in billions of dollars in
+investment building foundational models (the stuff that powers your favorite
+chatbot). Will go bust in the next few years. Building these models are
+expensive, risky, and very short-lived. If these companies cannot out-compete
+their rivals, then they will just have burned a ton of money for no avail.
+
+Building these models looks a lot like chip manufactoring. It requires tons of
+capital, but in just a few years, that old investment is pretty much worthless.
+All the users and money is given to the ones at their forefront of their field.
+Whether that is in monthly users, cheapest operations, originality etc.
+
+I fear for those playing in the generic foundation model field. You may be able
+to buy 100 A100s now, but in two years that investment is pretty much obsolete,
+so unless you get proper mindshare in that amount of time, you are doomed. We're
+probably gonna see some interesting attempts from some of these companies over
+the next years, trying to diversify their models, into specific fields, or
+products. Because right now, being a generic general purpose chatbot, is a
+difficult journey, especially when up against giants such as Google, OpenAI
+(Microsoft), Apple etc.
+
+GPT4 and rivals are already proving to be very reliable. In a few years ones the
+next models come out, and they're further optimized for speed, and cost. GPT4
+and its fellows will become a commodity. There will probably still be a marked
+for the best and newest models, like with phones. But for most people the older
+cheaper model, will probably be just fine.